In view to the unstable navigation risk assessment and make the future navigation risk forecasting, an innovative decision and forecasting approach is put forward in this study. Different from the… Click to show full abstract
In view to the unstable navigation risk assessment and make the future navigation risk forecasting, an innovative decision and forecasting approach is put forward in this study. Different from the existing literature, at the current time step, we first deduce an enhanced evidence combination rule to integrate uncertain and conflicting evidences by using weighted basic probabilistic assignment and matrix operation. As a result, a stable decision is effectively achieved no matter what characteristics of the available evidences are. Further, an improved
               
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