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Deep Ensemble With Proliferation of PV Energy for Bidirectional Evaluation of Voltage Stability Margin

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This paper proposes an algorithm for the bidirectional evaluation of voltage stability margin (VSM) with a large photovoltaic (PV) power penetration. To address the variability caused by loads and PV… Click to show full abstract

This paper proposes an algorithm for the bidirectional evaluation of voltage stability margin (VSM) with a large photovoltaic (PV) power penetration. To address the variability caused by loads and PV for bidirectional VSM, a deep ensemble model with a simultaneous point and probabilistic predictions is developed, which takes advantage of advanced metering infrastructure and weather data. The deep ensemble model consists of offline- and online-trained ensemble, which uses optimization blend and k-means, respectively. The proposed approach can also consider topology changes and environmental impacts (e.g., solar irradiance and temperature), with a major bearing on load/PV models and network parameters. The validity of the proposed approach is verified through its applications to a modified IEEE 33-bus system and IEEE 123-node test feeder, followed by VSM sensitivity analyses (Sen-ELM) and tolerance analyses with the consideration of input errors. The numerical results demonstrate that the proposed VSM approach has a strong generalization capability considering the proliferation of PV energy.

Keywords: deep ensemble; stability margin; evaluation voltage; energy; voltage stability; bidirectional evaluation

Journal Title: IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
Year Published: 2020

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