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Historical outcomes were at one time only possibilities – but how do we distinguish probable real events from improbable ones? Niall MacKay, Chris Price and Jamie Wood use a naval… Click to show full abstract
Historical outcomes were at one time only possibilities – but how do we distinguish probable real events from improbable ones? Niall MacKay, Chris Price and Jamie Wood use a naval battle of the First World War to explain how Bayesian thinking helps historians reason with the uncertainties of the past
Keywords:
bank weighing;
fog war;
weighing fog;
war;
dogger bank
Journal Title: Significance
Year Published: 2017
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Journal Title: Significance
Year Published: 2017
Link to full text (if available)
Share on Social Media: Sign Up to like & get
recommendations!