LAUSR

Our work is the first description of the Valley fever disease triangle in Northern Arizona, which addresses the host, the pathogen, and the environmental source in the region. Our data suggest that the prevalence of diagnosed cases rose in 2019 in this region, and some severe cases necessitate hospitalization. ABSTRACT Coccidioides immitis and Coccidioides posadasii are the etiological agents of coccidioidomycosis (Valley fever [VF]). Disease manifestation ranges from mild pneumonia to chronic or extrapulmonary infection. If diagnosis is delayed, the risk of severe disease increases. In this report, we investigated the intersection of pathogen, host, and environment for VF cases in Northern Arizona (NAZ), where the risk of acquiring the disease is much lower than in Southern Arizona. We investigated reported cases and assessed pathogen origin by comparing genomes of NAZ clinical isolates to isolates from other regions. Lastly, we surveyed regional soils for presence of Coccidioides. We found that cases of VF increased in NAZ in 2019, and Coccidioides NAZ isolates are assigned to Arizona populations using phylogenetic inference. Importantly, we detected Coccidioides DNA in NAZ soil. Given recent climate modeling of the disease that predicts that cases will continue to increase throughout the region, and the evidence presented in this report, we propose that disease awareness outreach to clinicians throughout the western United States is crucial for improving patient outcomes, and further environmental sampling across the western U.S. is warranted. IMPORTANCE Our work is the first description of the Valley fever disease triangle in Northern Arizona, which addresses the host, the pathogen, and the environmental source in the region. Our data suggest that the prevalence of diagnosed cases rose in 2019 in this region, and some severe cases necessitate hospitalization. We present the first evidence of Coccidioides spp. in Northern Arizona soils, suggesting that the pathogen is maintained in the local environment. Until disease prevention is an achievable option via vaccination, we predict that incidence of Valley fever will rise in the area. Therefore, enhanced awareness of and surveillance for coccidioidomycosis is vital to community health in Northern Arizona.