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Modeling Transit and Automobile Trip-Generation Propensities of Postsecondary students in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area: A Cross-Sectional Study

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The postsecondary students in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) maintain a constant source of demand and ridership for the region's transit infrastructure. With the province investing billions of… Click to show full abstract

The postsecondary students in the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA) maintain a constant source of demand and ridership for the region's transit infrastructure. With the province investing billions of dollars to meet the transit needs of the residents of the GTHA, a comprehensive analysis establishing the correlation between transit and automobile trips and the factors that influence the trip generation for these modes is warranted. Using data from 2015 and 2019, a cross-sectional study to gain behavioral insights into travel by postsecondary students is performed. Using a bivariate ordered-probit approach, the effect of land-use attributes and socio-demographics on the propensities of making transit and automobile trips is determined, followed by a marginal effects analysis. The results indicate that propensity of making transit and automobile trips decreases if the commute distance to campus is below 5 km, and improvement in transit accessibility can considerably increase the transit trip-making propensity.

Keywords: transit; postsecondary students; transit automobile; students greater; trip; greater toronto

Journal Title: Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering
Year Published: 2023

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