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Three problems with the conventional delta-model for biomass sampling data, and a computationally efficient alternative

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Ecologists often analyse biomass sampling data that result in many zeros, where remaining samples can take any positive real number. Samples are often analysed using a “delta model” that combines… Click to show full abstract

Ecologists often analyse biomass sampling data that result in many zeros, where remaining samples can take any positive real number. Samples are often analysed using a “delta model” that combines two separate generalized linear models, GLMs (for encounter probability and positive catch rates), or less often using a compound Poisson-gamma (CPG) distribution that is computationally expensive. I discuss three theoretical problems with the conventional delta-model: difficulty interpreting covariates for encounter-probability; the assumed independence of the two GLMs; and the biologically implausible form when eliminating covariates for either GLM. I then derive an alternative “Poisson-link model” that solves these problems. To illustrate, I use biomass samples for 113 fish populations to show that the Poisson-link model improves fit (and decreases residual spatial variation) for >80% of populations relative to the conventional delta-model. A simulation experiment illustrates that CPG and Poisson-link models e...

Keywords: delta model; biomass sampling; model; sampling data; conventional delta

Journal Title: Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
Year Published: 2018

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