LAUSR

Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a prognostic marker in elderly patients with cardiovascular diseases, but its predictive value in elderly valvular heart disease (VHD) patients is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the effect of DM on the long-term outcome of elderly VHD patients. Methods This single-center, observational study enrolled patients aged 65 and older consecutively with confirmed VHD using echocardiography. Patients, divided into the DM group and non-DM group, were followed up for major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), including all-cause death, ischemic stroke, and heart failure rehospitalization. Results Our study consisted of 532 patients over a median follow-up of 52.9 months. Compared with the non-DM group (n = 377), the DM group (n = 155) had higher incidences of ischemic stroke (25.2% vs. 13.5%, P=0.001), heart failure rehospitalization (37.4% vs. 20.7%, P < 0.001), and MACCEs (60.0% vs. 35.8%, P < 0.001). After adjustment of confounders by the multivariable cox regression, DM appeared as an independent predictor for MACCEs (adjusted hazard ratio, aHR: 1.88; 95% confidence interval 1.42–2.48; P < 0.001). In the subgroup analysis of VHD etiology and functional style, conversely, DM was a protective factor for MACCEs in the patients with rheumatic VHD compared with those without rheumatic VHD (aHR: 0.43 vs. 2.27, P=0.004). Conclusions DM was an independent predictor for ischemic stroke and heart failure rehospitalization in elderly VHD patients undergoing conservative treatment.