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Diagnosing Relationships between Mean State Biases and El Niño Shortwave Feedback in CMIP5 Models

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AbstractThe rate of damping of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) associated with El Nino events by surface shortwave heat fluxes has significant biases in current coupled climate models… Click to show full abstract

AbstractThe rate of damping of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) associated with El Nino events by surface shortwave heat fluxes has significant biases in current coupled climate models [phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)]. Of 33 CMIP5 models, 16 have shortwave feedbacks that are weakly negative in comparison to observations, or even positive, resulting in a tendency of amplification of SSTAs. Two biases in the cloud response to El Nino SSTAs are identified and linked to significant mean state biases in CMIP5 models. First, cool mean SST and reduced precipitation are linked to comparatively less cloud formation in the eastern equatorial Pacific during El Nino events, driven by a weakened atmospheric ascent response. Second, a spurious reduction of cloud driven by anomalous surface relative humidity during El Nino events is present in models with more stable eastern Pacific mean atmospheric conditions and more low cloud in the mean state. Both cloud respon...

Keywords: state biases; mean state; cmip5 models; nino events

Journal Title: Journal of Climate
Year Published: 2017

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