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Interdecadal Variability of the Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia Pattern and Its North Atlantic Origin

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AbstractThis study investigates the origin of the interdecadal variability in the Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia (WACE) pattern, which is defined as the second empirical orthogonal function of surface air… Click to show full abstract

AbstractThis study investigates the origin of the interdecadal variability in the Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia (WACE) pattern, which is defined as the second empirical orthogonal function of surface air temperature (SAT) variability over Eurasian continent in Northern winter, by analyzing the Twentieth Century Reanalysis dataset. While previous studies highlight recent enhancement of the WACE pattern ascribing it to anthropogenic warming, we found that the WACE pattern has experienced a seemingly periodic interdecadal variation over the twentieth century. This long-term variation in the Eurasian SAT is attributable to the altered coupling between the Siberian High (SH) and intraseasonal Rossby wave emanating from the North Atlantic, as the local wave branch interacts with the SH and consequentially enhances the continental temperature perturbation. It is further identified that these atmospheric circulation changes in Eurasia are largely controlled by the decadal amplitude modulation of the climatological...

Keywords: arctic cold; variability; cold eurasia; variability warm; interdecadal variability; warm arctic

Journal Title: Journal of Climate
Year Published: 2018

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