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Statistical Downscaling of Gridded Wind Speed Data Using Local Topography

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AbstractWinds, particularly high winds, strongly affect snowmelt and snow redistribution. High winds during rain-on-snow events can lead to catastrophic flooding while strong redistribution events in mountain environments can generate dangerous… Click to show full abstract

AbstractWinds, particularly high winds, strongly affect snowmelt and snow redistribution. High winds during rain-on-snow events can lead to catastrophic flooding while strong redistribution events in mountain environments can generate dangerous avalanche conditions. To provide adequate warnings, accurate wind data are required. Yet, mountain wind fields exhibit a high degree of heterogeneity at small spatial lengths that are not resolved by currently available gridded forecast data. Wind data from over 200 stations across Switzerland were used to evaluate two forecast surface wind products (~2- and 7-km horizontal resolution) and develop a statistical downscaling technique to capture these finer-scaled heterogeneities. Wind exposure metrics derived from a 25-m horizontal resolution digital elevation model effectively segregated high, moderate, and low wind speed sites. Forecast performance was markedly compromised and biased low at the exposed sites and biased high at the sheltered, valley sites. It was a...

Keywords: topography; statistical downscaling; wind speed; downscaling gridded

Journal Title: Journal of Hydrometeorology
Year Published: 2017

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