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A Simple Model to Predict Repeat Revascularization After Drug-Eluting Stent Implantation in Patients With Stable Coronary Artery Disease.

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Repeat revascularization is still common in the era of drug-eluting stents (DES), especially for non-target lesions. However, few validated models exist to predict the need for revascularization. We aimed to… Click to show full abstract

Repeat revascularization is still common in the era of drug-eluting stents (DES), especially for non-target lesions. However, few validated models exist to predict the need for revascularization. We aimed to develop and validate an easy-to-use predictive model for repeat revascularization after DES implantation in patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). A total of 1,653 stable CAD patients with angiographic follow-up after DES implantation were consecutively enrolled. Split-sample testing was adopted to develop and validate the model. In the training set, male, diabetes, number of target lesions, occlusion lesion, number of non-target lesions, recurrent angina, suboptimal low density lipoprotein-cholesterol level, and high lipoprotein (a) level were independent predictors of repeat revascularization using logistic regression analyses. The established model (Model 1) yielded a bias-corrected concordance index of 0.700 (95% confidence interval: 0.667 to 0.735), with good calibration. It also performed well in the validation set. Compared with the traditional empirical model only including recurrent angina (Model 2), Model 1 had better discriminative ability and clinical usefulness. In conclusion, we established and validated a simple model including 8 easily accessible variables to predict repeat revascularization after DES implantation in stable CAD patients, contributing to better risk stratification, decision making, and patient consultation.

Keywords: revascularization; drug eluting; implantation; model; repeat revascularization

Journal Title: Angiology
Year Published: 2021

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