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Climatic factors and the incidence of dengue in Cartagena, Colombian Caribbean Region

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ABSTRACT Background: The influence of climate on the epidemiology of dengue has scarcely been studied in Cartagena. Methods: The relationship between dengue cases and climatic and macroclimatic factors was explored… Click to show full abstract

ABSTRACT Background: The influence of climate on the epidemiology of dengue has scarcely been studied in Cartagena. Methods: The relationship between dengue cases and climatic and macroclimatic factors was explored using an ecological design and bivariate and time-series analyses during lag and non-lag months. Data from 2008-2017 was obtained from the national surveillance system and meteorological stations. Results: Cases correlated only with climatic variables during lag and non-lag months. Decreases in precipitation and humidity and increases in temperature were correlated with an increase in cases. Conclusions: Our findings provide useful information for establishing and strengthening dengue prevention and control strategies.

Keywords: incidence dengue; dengue cartagena; cartagena colombian; factors incidence; colombian caribbean; climatic factors

Journal Title: Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
Year Published: 2022

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