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Put-call parity violations and return predictability: Evidence from the 2008 short sale ban

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We show that the 2008 short-sale ban significantly enhanced the return predictability of put-call parity violations and attribute the significant increase in violations to stock over-valuation. The top quantile put-call… Click to show full abstract

We show that the 2008 short-sale ban significantly enhanced the return predictability of put-call parity violations and attribute the significant increase in violations to stock over-valuation. The top quantile put-call parity violation portfolio under-performs the lowest quantile portfolio by a risk-adjusted daily return of 2.8% during the ban period. Panel regression analysis documents that a significant increase in return predictability during the ban is more pronounced for stocks with liquid options, further corroborating our results. Our findings are robust to a number of controls aimed at alleviating concerns that other concurrent policy changes and events might be driving our results.

Keywords: return predictability; call parity; put call; ban

Journal Title: Journal of Banking and Finance
Year Published: 2019

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