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Are return predictors of industrial equity indexes common across regions?

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We investigate the potential cross-sectional relationship between several equity index attributes and future returns on country-industry indexes in the regions of North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, MENA, and Japan.… Click to show full abstract

We investigate the potential cross-sectional relationship between several equity index attributes and future returns on country-industry indexes in the regions of North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, MENA, and Japan. Index attributes include the recently documented predictors in the cross-section of stock or index returns such as return range, maximum and minimum returns in a month, idiosyncratic skewness as well as widely documented predictors at the stock level. Maximum and minimum effects are common for all regions. Return range significantly predicts returns in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America after controlling for other index attributes. Standard deviation and idiosyncratic volatility have strong predictive ability in Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, MENA, and Japan. Intermediate term momentum forecasts returns on North American and European portfolios. Earnings-to-price ratio is cross-sectionally linked to returns in Europe. Portfolio sorts show that the predictive power of significant index attributes increases with decreasing index size.

Keywords: index; asia pacific; pacific south; equity; europe asia; index attributes

Journal Title: Journal of Asset Management
Year Published: 2023

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