Accurate assessment of urban rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) potential is critical for the low-carbon energy transition. This study presents a deep learning-based approach using high-resolution (0.5 m) aerial imagery to… Click to show full abstract
Accurate assessment of urban rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) potential is critical for the low-carbon energy transition. This study presents a deep learning-based approach using high-resolution (0.5 m) aerial imagery to automatically identify building rooftops in the central urban area of Wuhan, China (covering seven districts), and to estimate their PV installation potential. Two state-of-the-art semantic segmentation models (DeepLabv3+ and U-Net) were trained and evaluated on a local rooftop dataset; U-Net with a ResNet50 backbone achieved the best performance with an overall segmentation accuracy of ~94%. Using this optimized model, we extracted approximately 130 km2 of suitable rooftop area, which could support an estimated 18.18 GW of PV capacity. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of deep learning for city-scale rooftop mapping and provide a data-driven basis for strategic planning of distributed PV installations to support carbon neutrality goals. The proposed framework can be generalized to facilitate large-scale solar energy assessments in other cities.
               
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