LAUSR

In geometry and topology, a family of probability distributions can be analyzed as the points on a manifold, known as statistical manifold, with intrinsic coordinates corresponding to the parameters of the distribution. Consider the exponential family of distributions with progressive Type-II censoring as the manifold of a statistical model, we use the information geometry methods to investigate the geometric quantities such as the tangent space, the Fisher metric tensors, the affine connection and the α-connection of the manifold. As an application of the geometric quantities, the asymptotic expansions of the posterior density function and the posterior Bayesian predictive density function of the manifold are discussed. The results show that the asymptotic expansions are related to the coefficients of the α-connections and metric tensors, and the predictive density function is the estimated density function in an asymptotic sense. The main results are illustrated by considering the Rayleigh distribution.