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Learning Your Options: Option-Based Model of Export Readiness and Optimal Export

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In this short note we offer a novel quantitative approach to modeling of early stages of firm’s internalization, namely stages of accumulation of export readiness and their export debut. In… Click to show full abstract

In this short note we offer a novel quantitative approach to modeling of early stages of firm’s internalization, namely stages of accumulation of export readiness and their export debut. In particular, we introduce a new model of export readiness and offer an explicit way of how the export readiness can be accounted in the company share price. The model considers export readiness as a non-observable intangible asset that changes a firm’s asset dynamics. This, in the framework of an option-based debt-equity Merton model, affects both the equity and debt of the company. The approach also allows one to define the contribution of export readiness to equity price and to find a self-consistent quantitative solution to the problem of optimal export strategy and the corresponding optimal firm’s capital allocation.

Keywords: option based; export; export readiness; model export

Journal Title: Entropy
Year Published: 2022

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