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Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation

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We study the non-linear causal relation between uncertainty-due-to-infectious-diseases and stock–bond correlation. To this end, we use high-frequency 1-min data to compute daily realized measures of correlation and jumps, and then,… Click to show full abstract

We study the non-linear causal relation between uncertainty-due-to-infectious-diseases and stock–bond correlation. To this end, we use high-frequency 1-min data to compute daily realized measures of correlation and jumps, and then, we employ a nonlinear Granger causality test with the use of artificial neural networks so as to investigate the predictability of this type of uncertainty on realized stock–bond correlation and jumps. Our findings reveal that uncertainty-due-to-infectiousdiseases has significant predictive value on the changes of the stock–bond relation.

Keywords: uncertainty due; correlation; stock bond; uncertainty

Journal Title: Econometrics
Year Published: 2021

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