LAUSR

This paper explores the spatial relationship between urbanization and urban household carbon emissions at the prefectural level and above cities in China and uses Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) to reveal the extent of the impact of urbanization on urban household carbon emissions and the spatial and temporal variation characteristics. The results show that: Overall carbon emissions of urban households in cities of China showed a decreasing trend during the study period, but there were significant differences in the carbon emissions of urban households in the four major regions. In terms of the spatial and temporal characteristics of urban household carbon emissions, the urban “head effect” of urban household carbon emissions is obvious. The high-high clustering of urban household carbon emissions is characterized by a huge triangular spatial distribution of “Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Chengdu-Chongqing, and Shanghai”. The level of urbanization in Chinese cities at the prefecture level and above shows a spatial pattern of decreasing levels of urbanization in the east, middle, and west. The four subsystems of urbanization are positively correlated with urban household carbon emissions in the same direction. The urbanization factors have a contributory effect on some cities’ carbon emissions of urban households, but there are significant regional differences in the impact of urbanization factors on urban household carbon emissions in the eastern, central, and western regions of China, as they are at different stages of rapid urbanization development.