LAUSR

We consider a time series with real data from a water lift station, equipped with three water pumps which are activated and deactivated depending on certain starting and halting thresholds. Given the water level and the number of active pumps, both read every 5 min, we aim to infer when each pump was activated or deactivated. To do so, we build an algorithm that sets a hierarchy of criteria based on the past and future of a given interval to identify which thresholds have been crossed during that interval. We then fill the gaps between the 5 min time steps, modeling the water level continuously with a piecewise linear function. This filling takes into account not only every water level reading and every previously identified change of status, but also the fact that activation and deactivation of a pump has no immediate effect on water level. This allows for the fulfillment of the ultimate objective of the problem in its real context, which is to provide the water management company an estimate of how long each pump has been working. Additionally, our estimates correct the errors contained in the time series regarding the number of active pumps.