In hydrological models, parameters are used to adapt the model to the conditions of the catchments. Hereby, the parameters need to be identified based on their role in controlling the… Click to show full abstract
In hydrological models, parameters are used to adapt the model to the conditions of the catchments. Hereby, the parameters need to be identified based on their role in controlling the hydrological behaviour in the model. For parameter identification, multiple and complementary performance criteria are used, which have to capture the different aspects of hydrological response of catchments. A reliable parameter identification depends on how distinctly a model parameter can be assigned to one of the performance criteria. We introduce an analysis that reveals the connective strength between model parameters and performance criteria. The connective strength assesses the intensity in the inter-relationship between model parameters and performance criteria. In our analysis of connective strength, model simulations are carried out based on a Latin Hypercube sampling. Ten performance criteria in cluding the NSE, the KGE and its three components (alpha, beta and r) as well as the RSR for different segments of the flow duration curve (FDC) are calculated. With a joint analysis of two regression trees (RT), it is derived how a model parameter is connected to the different performance criteria. At first, RTs are constructed using each performance criteria as target variable to detect the most relevant model parameters for each performance criteria. A second RT approach using each parameter as target variable detects which performance criterion is impacted by changes in parameter values. Based on this, appropriate performance criteria are identified for each model parameter. A high bijective connective strength is calculated for low and mid flow conditions. Moreover, the RT analyses emphasise the benefit of an individual analysis of the three components of the KGE and of the FDC segments. It is emphasised under which conditions these performance criteria provide insights into a precise parameter identification. Separate performance criteria are required to identify dominant parameters on low and mid flow conditions, whilst the number of required performance criteria for high flows increases with the process complexity in the catchment. Overall, the analysis of the connective strength using RTs contribute towards a better handling of parameters and performance criteria in hydrological modelling.
               
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