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Calibrating Readmission Risk Prediction Models for Determining Post-discharge Follow-up Timing

The soaring hospital readmission rates are straining the already limited financial resources in the US health system. Meanwhile, timely outpatient follow-up, an efficient and cost-effective intervention following hospital discharge, has… Click to show full abstract

The soaring hospital readmission rates are straining the already limited financial resources in the US health system. Meanwhile, timely outpatient follow-up, an efficient and cost-effective intervention following hospital discharge, has been shown to reduce the readmission risk. However, the current and projected shortage of physicians in primary and specialty care poses a unique dilemma in transitional care planning: optimizing the utilization of post-discharge follow-up to reduce readmission rate while limiting the strain on the limited pool of outpatient physicians. The ideal solution would entail a strategy whereby patients at higher risk for readmission are stratified towards earlier outpatient follow-up and vice versa. This article explores the utility of Institution-specific readmission risk prediction algorithms for assessing patient population for diverse administrative, clinical and socioeconomic risk factors and further classifying the hospital’s patient population into high- and low-risk strata, so that appropriate risk-concordant timing of follow-up can be assigned at the time of hospital discharge, with earlier follow-up assigned to high readmission risk strata. This stratification shall help ensure judicious and equitable human resource allocation while simultaneously reducing hospital readmission rates.

Keywords: discharge follow; readmission risk; readmission; risk; post discharge

Journal Title: Journal of Community Hospital Internal Medicine Perspectives
Year Published: 2022

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