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Random Threshold Driven Tail Dependence Measures with Application to Precipitation Data Analysis

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This paper first studies the theoretical properties of the tail quotient correlation coefficient (TQCC) which was proposed to measure tail dependence between two random variables. By introducing random thresholds in… Click to show full abstract

This paper first studies the theoretical properties of the tail quotient correlation coefficient (TQCC) which was proposed to measure tail dependence between two random variables. By introducing random thresholds in TQCC, an approximation theory between conditional tail probabilities is established. The new random threshold-driven TQCC can be used to test the null hypothesis of tail independence under which TQCC test statistics are shown to follow a Chi-squared distribution under two general scenarios. The TQCC is shown to be consistent under the alternative hypothesis of tail dependence with a general approximation of max-stable distribution. Second, we apply TQCC to investigate tail dependencies of a large scale problem of daily precipitation in the continental US. Our results, from the perspective of tail dependence, reveal nonstationarity, spatial clusters, and tail dependence from the precipitations across the continental US.

Keywords: tail dependence; threshold driven; random threshold; tail

Journal Title: Statistica Sinica
Year Published: 2017

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