Excessive Momentum and False Alarms in Late‐Spring ENSO Forecasts
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DOI: 10.1029/2020gl087008
Abstract: The unanticipated stalled El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) evolution of 2014 raises questions about the reliability of the coupled models that were used for forecast guidance. Here we have analyzed the skill and reliability of forecasts… read more here.
Keywords: excessive momentum; enso; false alarms; momentum ... See more keywords