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Published in 2021 at "International Journal of Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.09.012
Abstract: Abstract A new class of forecasting models is proposed that extends the realized GARCH class of models through the inclusion of option prices to forecast the variance of asset returns. The VIX is used to…
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Keywords:
option prices;
asset returns;
variance;
forecasting ... See more keywords
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Published in 2019 at "Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications"
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.11.011
Abstract: The distribution of the returns of an asset is still an open problem despite the variety of models and methods devised to deal with it. In this note we propose a model-free, nonparametric method for…
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Keywords:
free non;
model free;
method;
density ... See more keywords