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Published in 2024 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4850
Abstract: Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) are known to develop from African easterly waves (AEWs) that propagate across North Africa and out over the Atlantic Ocean. The relationship between AEWs and TCs has been the subject of… read more here.
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Published in 2017 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3656-3
Abstract: This study examines the impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode (PMM) on North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall along the coastal US, Caribbean Islands and Mexico, and provides insights on the underlying physical mechanisms… read more here.
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Published in 2021 at "Nature Communications"
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27364-8
Abstract: Historical records of Atlantic hurricane activity, extending back to 1851, show increasing activity over time, but much or all of this trend has been attributed to lack of observations in the early portion of the… read more here.
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Published in 2024 at "Journal of Climate"
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0475.1
Abstract: North Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity under a high-emission scenario is projected using a statistical synthetic storm model coupled with nine Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models. The ensemble projection shows that… read more here.
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Published in 2025 at "Journal of Climate"
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0509.1
Abstract: This study assesses the representation of the observed relationship between Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) across nine models participating in CMIP6-HighResMIP. Most models struggle to faithfully reproduce the observed impacts of… read more here.
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Published in 2019 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0195.1
Abstract: This study provides the first climatological assessment of the impact of recurving North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) on downstream precipitation extremes. The response is evaluated based on time-lagged composites for 146 recurving TCs between 1979… read more here.
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Published in 2017 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0058.1
Abstract: AbstractNorth Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from four ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are verified using the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) best tracks for the 2008–15 seasons. The 1–5-day forecasts are evaluated for the 21-member National… read more here.
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Published in 2021 at "Atmosphere"
DOI: 10.3390/atmos12081032
Abstract: Changes in the translational speed of tropical cyclones (e.g., sluggish tropical cyclones) are associated with extreme precipitation and flash flooding. However, it is still unclear regarding the spatial and temporal variability of extreme tropical cyclone… read more here.