Using Data Combination of Fundamental Variable-Based Forecasts and Poll-Based Forecasts to Predict the 2013 German Election
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DOI: 10.1080/09644008.2017.1280781
Abstract: In this paper I present an election forecasting approach to predict the vote share of the governing coalition in German national elections. The model is composed of two independent prediction components: the first is based… read more here.
Keywords: combination fundamental; using data; data combination; based forecasts ... See more keywords
Evaluating survey-based forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic variables
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DOI: 10.1108/jes-05-2020-0237
Abstract: PurposeThis study examines the forecasting performance of the professional analysts participating in the Blue Chip Economic Indicators Survey using an alternative methodological research design.Design/methodology/approachThis work employs two methodologies, namely a panel specification, with the cross-section… read more here.
Keywords: macroeconomic variables; survey based; interest rates; survey ... See more keywords