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Reply to Bracher: Scoring probabilistic forecasts to maximize public health interpretability

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Published in 2019 at "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America"

DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1912694116

Abstract: Evaluating probabilistic forecasts in the context of a real-time public health surveillance system is a complicated business. We agree with Bracher’s (1) observations that the scores established by the US Centers for Disease Control and… read more here.

Keywords: public health; bracher scoring; reply bracher; probabilistic forecasts ... See more keywords