Tailoring capture-recapture methods to estimate registry-based case counts based on error-prone diagnostic signals.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Statistics in medicine"
DOI: 10.1002/sim.9759
Abstract: Surveillance research is of great importance for effective and efficient epidemiological monitoring of case counts and disease prevalence. Taking specific motivation from ongoing efforts to identify recurrent cases based on the Georgia Cancer Registry, we… read more here.
Keywords: case counts; registry based; registry; case ... See more keywords
Are official confirmed cases and fatalities counts good enough to study the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics? A critical assessment through the case of Italy
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Nonlinear Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s11071-020-05761-w
Abstract: As the COVID-19 outbreak is developing the two most frequently reported statistics seem to be the raw confirmed case and case fatalities counts. Focusing on Italy, one of the hardest hit countries, we look at… read more here.
Keywords: fatalities counts; case counts; confirmed case; raw confirmed ... See more keywords
Evaluating COVID-19 reporting data in the context of testing strategies across 31 low- and middle-income countries
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "International Journal of Infectious Diseases"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.07.042
Abstract: BackgroundCOVID-19 case counts are the predominant measure used to track epidemiological dynamics and inform policy decision-making. Case counts, however, are influenced by testing rates and strategies, which have varied over time and space. A method… read more here.
Keywords: low middle; case counts; middle income; surveillance ... See more keywords
Use of community SARS-CoV2 case counts and instantaneous reproductive number to predict short-term COVID-19 hospital admission volumes.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2023 at "American journal of epidemiology"
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwad117
Abstract: The SARS-CoV2 pandemic and high hospitalization rates placed a tremendous strain on hospital resources necessitating models to predict hospital volumes and the associated resource requirements. Complex epidemiologic models have been developed and published, but many… read more here.
Keywords: case counts; sars cov2; day predictions; community ... See more keywords
Forecasting the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Epidemiologic reviews"
DOI: 10.1093/epirev/mxz013
Abstract: In 2014/15 an Ebola outbreak of unprecedented dimensions afflicted the West African countries of Liberia, Guinea, and Sierra Leone. We performed a systematic review of manuscripts that forecasted the outbreak while it was occurring, and… read more here.
Keywords: african ebola; west african; case counts; ebola outbreak ... See more keywords
Wastewater-Based SARS-CoV-2 Surveillance in Northern New England
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Microbiology Spectrum"
DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.02207-21
Abstract: Despite vaccination efforts, the delta and omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 have caused global surges of COVID-19. As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, it is important to find new ways of tracking early signs of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks.… read more here.
Keywords: case counts; wastewater; rna; community ... See more keywords
Weekly dengue forecasts in Iquitos, Peru; San Juan, Puerto Rico; and Singapore
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases"
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008710
Abstract: Background Predictive models can serve as early warning systems and can be used to forecast future risk of various infectious diseases. Conventionally, regression and time series models are used to forecast dengue incidence, using dengue… read more here.
Keywords: case counts; weather data; dengue surveillance; dengue ... See more keywords
Coronavirus Disease Case Definitions, Diagnostic Testing Criteria, and Surveillance in 25 Countries with Highest Reported Case Counts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Emerging Infectious Diseases"
DOI: 10.3201/eid2801.211082
Abstract: We compared case definitions for suspected, probable, and confirmed coronavirus disease (COVID-19), as well as diagnostic testing criteria, used in the 25 countries with the highest reported case counts as of October 1, 2020. Of… read more here.
Keywords: diagnostic testing; case counts; coronavirus disease; testing criteria ... See more keywords
Forecasting Daily COVID-19 Case Counts Using Aggregate Mobility Statistics
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Data"
DOI: 10.3390/data7110166
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the whole world profoundly. For managing the pandemic, the ability to forecast daily COVID-19 case counts would bring considerable benefit to governments and policymakers. In this paper, we propose to… read more here.
Keywords: case counts; case; daily covid; covid case ... See more keywords