COVID-19: Forecasting confirmed cases and deaths with a simple time series model
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "International Journal of Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.11.010
Abstract: Forecasting the outcome of outbreaks as early and as accurately as possible is crucial for decision making and policy implementations. A significant challenge faced by forecasters is that not all outbreaks and epidemics turn into… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; time series; time; model ... See more keywords
Transfer Learning for COVID-19 cases and deaths forecast using LSTM network
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DOI: 10.1016/j.isatra.2020.12.057
Abstract: In this paper, Transfer Learning is used in LSTM networks to forecast new COVID cases and deaths. Models trained in data from early COVID infected countries like Italy and the United States are used to… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; transfer learning; forecast using; covid cases ... See more keywords
A novel hybrid fuzzy time series model for prediction of COVID-19 infected cases and deaths in India
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "ISA Transactions"
DOI: 10.1016/j.isatra.2021.07.003
Abstract: World is facing stress due to unpredicted pandemic of novel COVID-19. Daily growing magnitude of confirmed cases of COVID-19 put the whole world humanity at high risk and it has made a pressure on health… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; covid infected; covid; model ... See more keywords
Analysing COVID-19 pandemic through cases, deaths, and recoveries
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Journal of Oral Biology and Craniofacial Research"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jobcr.2020.08.003
Abstract: Abstract Background and aims The novel Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China, became a pandemic after its outbreak in January 2020. Countries one after the other are witnessing peak effects of the disease, and they… read more here.
Keywords: deaths recoveries; cases deaths; analysing covid; analysis ... See more keywords
Fractal-fractional mathematical modeling and forecasting of new cases and deaths of COVID-19 epidemic outbreaks in India
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Results in Physics"
DOI: 10.1016/j.rinp.2020.103702
Abstract: Fractional-order derivative-based modeling is very significant to describe real-world problems with forecasting and analyze the realistic situation of the proposed model. The aim of this work is to predict future trends in the behavior of… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; mathematical modeling; model; fractional mathematical ... See more keywords
COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States follow Taylor’s law for heavy-tailed distributions with infinite variance
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America"
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2209234119
Abstract: Significance Variations in the cumulative reported SARS-CoV-2 cases and COVID-19 deaths by US county, state, and date exemplify Taylor’s law of fluctuation scaling, a widespread ecological and epidemiological pattern. Specifically, on day 1 of each… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; taylor law; variance; infinite variance ... See more keywords
The association between COVID-19 cases and deaths and web-based public inquiries
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Infectious Diseases"
DOI: 10.1080/23744235.2020.1856406
Abstract: Abstract Background Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) emerged in December 2019 and rapidly spread globally. Since there is still no specific treatment available, prevention of disease spread is crucial to manage the pandemic. Adequate public… read more here.
Keywords: based interest; cases deaths; web based; covid cases ... See more keywords
Strengthening National Capacities for Pandemic Preparedness: A Cross-Country Analysis of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Health Policy and Planning"
DOI: 10.1093/heapol/czab122
Abstract: Abstract The International Health Regulation—State Party Annual Reporting (IHR-SPAR) and the Global Health Security Index (GHSI)) have been developed to aid in strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness. We examine the relationship between country-level rankings… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; index; covid cases; pandemic preparedness ... See more keywords
Data Resource Profile: COVerAGE-DB: a global demographic database of COVID-19 cases and deaths
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "International Journal of Epidemiology"
DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyab027
Abstract: Information about pandemic dynamics is crucial to understand the potential impacts on populations, design mitigation strategies and evaluate the efficacy of their implementation. Centralization, standardization and harmonization of data are critical to enable comparisons of… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; covid cases; coverage; data resource ... See more keywords
US County-Level COVID-19 Vaccine Uptake and Rates of Omicron Cases and Deaths
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DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofac299
Abstract: Abstract The population-level impact of vaccination on Omicron-related disease is not well described. We fit negative binomial models to estimate the relationship between US county-level vaccine coverage and rates of coronavirus disease 2019. Increased booster… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; level; vaccine; rates omicron ... See more keywords
Impacts of a delayed and slow-paced vaccination on cases and deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic: a modelling study
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Journal of the Royal Society Interface"
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0275
Abstract: In Brazil, vaccination has always cut across party political and ideological lines, which has delayed its start and brought the whole process into disrepute. Such divergences put the immunization of the population in the background… read more here.
Keywords: cases deaths; second dose; modelling study; vaccination ... See more keywords