On climate prediction: how much can we expect from climate memory?
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4168-5
Abstract: Slowing variability in climate system is an important source of climate predictability. However, it is still challenging for current dynamical models to fully capture the variability as well as its impacts on future climate. In… read more here.
Keywords: climate; memory part; climate prediction; climate memory ... See more keywords
Identifying the sources of seasonal predictability based on climate memory analysis and variance decomposition
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05444-7
Abstract: It is well recognized that climate predictability has three origins: (i) climate memory (inertia of the climate system) that accumulated from the historical conditions, (ii) responses to external forcings, and (iii) dynamical interactions of multiple… read more here.
Keywords: predictability; variance decomposition; seasonal predictability; climate memory ... See more keywords