CGCM and AGCM Seasonal Climate Predictions – A Study in CCSM4
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DOI: 10.1002/2016jd026391
Abstract: Seasonal climate predictions are formulated from known, present conditions, and simulate the near-term climate for approximately a year in the future. Recent efforts in seasonal climate prediction include coupled general circulation model (CGCM) ensemble predictions,… read more here.
Keywords: climate; seasonal climate; skill predictability; climate predictions ... See more keywords
Quantifying the Uncertainties in an Ensemble of Decadal Climate Predictions
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DOI: 10.1002/2017jd027249
Abstract: Meaningful climate predictions must be accompanied by their corresponding range of uncertainty. Quantifying the uncertainties is nontrivial, and different methods have been suggested and used in the past. Here we propose a method that does… read more here.
Keywords: decadal climate; quantifying uncertainties; ensemble decadal; climate predictions ... See more keywords
The Weather Roulette: A Game to Communicate the Usefulness of Probabilistic Climate Predictions
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DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0214.1
Abstract: Climate predictions, from three weeks to a decade into the future, can provide invaluable information for climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors, such as renewable energy, agriculture, or insurance. However, communicating and interpreting these predictions is not straightforward.… read more here.
Keywords: climatology; weather roulette; climate; roulette game ... See more keywords