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Published in 2018 at "Empirica"
DOI: 10.1007/s10663-016-9360-4
Abstract: This paper offers a pioneer attempt to unveil the time-varying impact of consumer confidence on GDP growth. The empirical analysis is based on a state space model with time-varying coefficients, which is employed on a…
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Keywords:
consumer;
confidence gdp;
consumer confidence;
time varying ... See more keywords
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Published in 2018 at "Social Indicators Research"
DOI: 10.1007/s11205-017-1609-1
Abstract: This paper builds upon the renowned media reports-based “Economic policy uncertainty” (EPU) index and analyzes its Granger-causal interrelationships with consumer confidence and aggregate economic activity. Employing a heterogeneous panel Granger causality test on data from…
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Keywords:
economic activity;
index;
uncertainty;
economic policy ... See more keywords
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Published in 2022 at "Tourism Economics"
DOI: 10.1177/13548166211065250
Abstract: This study performs the bootstrap full- and sub-sample rolling-window Granger causality tests, in order to investigate the time-varying causal relationship between the consumer confidence index (CCI) and the outbound tourism expenditure (OTM) in China. For…
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Keywords:
expenditure;
outbound tourism;
consumer confidence;
tourism ... See more keywords