PostProcessing and Visualization Techniques for Convection-Allowing Ensembles
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DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0041.1
Abstract: Since the early 2000s, growing computing resources for numerical weather prediction (NWP) and scientific advances enabled development and testing of experimental, real-time deterministic convection-allowing models (CAMs). By the late 2000s, continued advancements spurred development of… read more here.
Keywords: convection; visualization techniques; techniques convection; postprocessing visualization ... See more keywords
Prediction of Lake-Effect Snow Using Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts and Regional Data Assimilation
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-16-0206.1
Abstract: AbstractLake-effect snow (LES) is a cold-season mesoscale convective phenomenon that can lead to significant snowfall rates and accumulations in the Great Lakes region of the United States. While limited-area numerical weather prediction models have shown… read more here.
Keywords: effect snow; data assimilation; convection allowing; prediction ... See more keywords
Advancing from Convection-Allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of Progress
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0145.1
Abstract: AbstractThe Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) program, driven by advanced data assimilation and ensemble design of numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, seeks to advance 0–3-h NWP to aid National Weathe... read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; advancing convection; warn; convection allowing ... See more keywords
An Analysis on Perturbation Features of Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction Based on the Local Breeding Growth Mode
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0111.1
Abstract: In this study, a convection-allowing ensemble prediction experiment was conducted on a strong convective weather process, based on the local breeding growth mode (LBGM) method proposed according to the strongly local nature of the convective-scale… read more here.
Keywords: allowing ensemble; initial perturbation; convection allowing; prediction ... See more keywords
A Comparison of Neural-Network and Surrogate-Severe Probabilistic Convective Hazard Guidance Derived from a Convection-Allowing Model
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-20-0036.1
Abstract: A feed-forward neural network (NN) was trained to produce gridded probabilistic convective hazard predictions over the contiguous United States. Input fields to the NN included 174 predictors, derived from 38 variables output by 497 convection-allowing… read more here.
Keywords: probabilistic convective; convection allowing; surrogate; model ... See more keywords
Characteristics of Diagnostics for Identifying Elevated Convection over the British Isles in a Convection-Allowing Model
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-22-0219.1
Abstract: Identifying modes of convection can be useful in both forecasting and research. For example, it allows for potentially different impacts to be determined in forecasting contexts and stratification of model behavior in research contexts. One… read more here.
Keywords: convection allowing; allowing model; convection; layer ... See more keywords