Quantifying the Uncertainties in an Ensemble of Decadal Climate Predictions
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DOI: 10.1002/2017jd027249
Abstract: Meaningful climate predictions must be accompanied by their corresponding range of uncertainty. Quantifying the uncertainties is nontrivial, and different methods have been suggested and used in the past. Here we propose a method that does… read more here.
Keywords: decadal climate; quantifying uncertainties; ensemble decadal; climate predictions ... See more keywords
The impacts of oceanic deep temperature perturbations in the North Atlantic on decadal climate variability and predictability
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-4016-z
Abstract: Decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic is largely related to ocean low frequency variability, whose sensitivity to initial conditions is not very well understood. Recently, three-dimensional oceanic temperature anomalies optimally perturbing the North Atlantic… read more here.
Keywords: north atlantic; predictability; temperature; decadal climate ... See more keywords
Regional Decadal Climate Predictions Using an Ensemble of WRF Parameterizations Driven by the MIROC5 GCM
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology"
DOI: 10.1175/jamc-d-18-0051.1
Abstract: Regional climate models (RCMs) are expected to provide better representations of the climate dynamics because of their higher spatial resolutions. Here, we generated an ensemble of decadal (2006–36) RCM predictions for the area of Israel,… read more here.
Keywords: surface; surface temperature; regional decadal; decadal climate ... See more keywords
A Drift-Free Decadal Climate Prediction System for the Community Earth System Model
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DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-18-0788.1
Abstract: Performance of a newly developed decadal climate prediction system is examined using the low-resolution Community Earth System Model (CESM). To identify key sources of predictability and determine the role of upper and deeper ocean data… read more here.
Keywords: prediction system; system; model; decadal climate ... See more keywords