Assessing the Impact of Initialization on Decadal Prediction Skill
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DOI: 10.1029/2019gl086361
Abstract: An alternative approach to evaluating the correlation skill of near-term climate predictions is proposed. The approach separately quantifies the skill of the initialized and uninitialized components of the forecast and their contributions to overall correlation… read more here.
Keywords: component; climate; initialization; skill ... See more keywords
Skillful Decadal Prediction of Droughts Over Large‐Scale River Basins Across the Globe
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DOI: 10.1029/2020gl089738
Abstract: Long‐term droughts, closely linked to oceanic climate variability, are a great threat to the global economy, as well as food and water security. Skillful predictions will provide enormous benefit to the human societies. By taking… read more here.
Keywords: across globe; decadal prediction; basins across; river basins ... See more keywords
Skillful decadal prediction of unforced southern European summer temperature variations
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DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac20f5
Abstract: We assess the capability of decadal prediction simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) archive to predict European summer temperature during the period 1970–2014. Using a multi-model ensemble average, we show that… read more here.
Keywords: summer temperature; temperature; european summer; summer ... See more keywords