Density tourism demand forecasting revisited
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Annals of Tourism Research"
DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2018.12.019
Abstract: Abstract This study used scoring rules to evaluate density forecasts generated by different time-series models. Based on quarterly tourist arrivals to Hong Kong from ten source markets, the empirical results suggest that density forecasts perform… read more here.
Keywords: demand forecasting; density forecasts; tourism; density ... See more keywords
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.02.007
Abstract: Abstract This paper presents empirical evidence on how judgmental adjustments affect the accuracy of macroeconomic density forecasts. Judgment is defined as the difference between professional forecasters’ densities and the forecast densities from statistical models. Using… read more here.
Keywords: density forecasts; statistical models; density; forecasts judgment ... See more keywords