Predictive Bayesian selection of multistep Markov chains, applied to the detection of the hot hand and other statistical dependencies in free throws
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DOI: 10.1098/rsos.182174
Abstract: Consider the problem of modelling memory effects in discrete-state random walks using higher-order Markov chains. This paper explores cross-validation and information criteria as proxies for a model’s predictive accuracy. Our objective is to select, from… read more here.
Keywords: statistical dependencies; markov chains; predictive bayesian; dependencies free ... See more keywords