Early warning signals in plant disease outbreaks
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Ecological Modelling"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.11.003
Abstract: Infectious disease outbreaks in plants threaten ecosystems, agricultural crops and food trade. Currently, several fungal diseases are affecting forests worldwide, posing a major risk to tree species, habitats and consequently ecosystem decay. Prediction and control… read more here.
Keywords: disease outbreaks; warning signals; disease; early warning ... See more keywords
Minimizing disease spread on a quarantined cruise ship: A model of COVID-19 with asymptomatic infections☆
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Mathematical Biosciences"
DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108442
Abstract: Abstract On February 5 the Japanese government ordered the passengers and crew on the Diamond Princess to start a two week quarantine after a former passenger tested positive for COVID-19. During the quarantine the virus… read more here.
Keywords: asymptomatic infections; model; ship; spread ... See more keywords
Modeling stochastic processes in disease spread across a heterogeneous social system
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America"
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1801429116
Abstract: Significance This study infers probabilistic infection routes of a vector-borne disease, by modeling internal dynamics of metapopulations driven by human mobility as multivariate stochastic processes. In this way, our proposed model uncovers the self-excitation and… read more here.
Keywords: social system; stochastic processes; heterogeneous social; diffusion ... See more keywords
The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2023 at "Royal Society Open Science"
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.221122
Abstract: Close contacts between individuals provide opportunities for the transmission of diseases, including COVID-19. While individuals take part in many different types of interactions, including those with classmates, co-workers and household members, it is the conglomeration… read more here.
Keywords: contact networks; contact; social contact; disease ... See more keywords
Airline transportation and arrival time of international disease spread: A case study of Covid-19
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "PLoS ONE"
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256398
Abstract: In this era of globalization, airline transportation has greatly increased international trade and travel within the World Airport Network (WAN). Unfortunately, this convenience has expanded the scope of infectious disease spread from a local to… read more here.
Keywords: distance; disease spread; model; airline ... See more keywords
Covid-19: Early Cases and Disease Spread
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Annals of Global Health"
DOI: 10.5334/aogh.3776
Abstract: The emergence and global spread of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is critical to understanding how to prevent or control a future viral pandemic. We review the tools used for this retrospective search,… read more here.
Keywords: disease spread; cases disease; early cases; covid early ... See more keywords