On Evaluation of Ensemble Forecast Calibration Using the Concept of Data Depth
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DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-16-0351.1
Abstract: AbstractVarious generalizations of the univariate rank histogram have been proposed to inspect the reliability of an ensemble forecast or analysis in multidimensional spaces. Multivariate rank histograms provide insightful information about the misspecification of genuinely multivariate… read more here.
Keywords: data depth; multivariate rank; concept data; ensemble forecast ... See more keywords
Assessments of Surface Winds and Waves from the NCEP Ensemble Forecast System
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0086.1
Abstract: The error characteristics of surface waves and winds produced by ensemble forecasts issued by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction are analyzed as a function of forecast range and severity. Eight error metrics are compared,… read more here.
Keywords: forecast system; winds waves; surface winds; forecast ... See more keywords
Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System to Produce Calibrated Probabilistic Thunderstorm Guidance
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-22-0001.1
Abstract: The High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system (HREF) Calibrated Thunder guidance is a suite of probabilistic forecast products designed to predict the likelihood of at least one cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flash within 20 km (12 miles) of… read more here.
Keywords: forecast; ensemble forecast; forecast system; guidance ... See more keywords
Advances in Flood Early Warning: Ensemble Forecast, Information Dissemination and Decision-Support Systems
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DOI: 10.3390/hydrology7030056
Abstract: Floods are usually highly destructive, which may cause enormous losses to lives and property. It is, therefore, important and necessary to develop effective flood early warning systems and disseminate the information to the public through… read more here.
Keywords: early warning; flood early; information; ensemble forecast ... See more keywords