Articles with "ensemble prediction" as a keyword



The regional model‐based Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System, MEPS, at the Japan Meteorological Agency

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Published in 2020 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"

DOI: 10.1002/qj.3928

Abstract: The regional model‐based Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS) has been operational since June 2019 at the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). The primary objective of the newly operational MEPS is to provide uncertainty information for JMA's… read more here.

Keywords: prediction system; model; ensemble prediction; regional model ... See more keywords

A Climate Prediction Method Based on EMD and Ensemble Prediction Technique

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Published in 2018 at "Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences"

DOI: 10.1007/s13143-018-0078-z

Abstract: Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based… read more here.

Keywords: model; climate prediction; emd ensemble; prediction ... See more keywords

Computing the Ensemble Spread From Deterministic Weather Predictions Using Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks

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Published in 2022 at "Geophysical Research Letters"

DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101452

Abstract: Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated with a high computational cost and… read more here.

Keywords: weather; ensemble spread; ensemble prediction; control forecast ... See more keywords

Constrained Infinitesimal Dipole Modeling-Assisted Ensemble Prediction of Embedded Element Patterns via Machine Learning

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Published in 2024 at "IEEE Transactions on Antennas and Propagation"

DOI: 10.1109/tap.2024.3433515

Abstract: A novel ensemble prediction technique is introduced to enhance the accuracy of far-field embedded element pattern (EEP) prediction under mutual coupling (MC) effects, while relaxing the training data size challenge in neural network (NN)-based algorithms.… read more here.

Keywords: dipole modeling; infinitesimal dipole; prediction; constrained infinitesimal ... See more keywords

Investigating the Factors That Contribute to African Easterly Wave Intensity Forecast Uncertainty in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System

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Published in 2019 at "Monthly Weather Review"

DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0071.1

Abstract: Although there have been numerous studies documenting the processes/environments that lead to the intensification of African easterly waves (AEWs), only a few of these studies investigated the effect of those processes or the environment on… read more here.

Keywords: ecmwf ensemble; prediction system; intensity; african easterly ... See more keywords

Calibration of parameter perturbations for ensemble prediction using data-consistent inversion

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Published in 2025 at "Monthly Weather Review"

DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-24-0032.1

Abstract: Parameter perturbations are an attractive way to represent model errors in an ensemble prediction system due to their ability to target precise sources of uncertainty. However, most parameters do not have a linear impact on… read more here.

Keywords: data consistent; ensemble prediction; consistent inversion; parameter perturbations ... See more keywords

An Analysis on Perturbation Features of Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction Based on the Local Breeding Growth Mode

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Published in 2019 at "Weather and Forecasting"

DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0111.1

Abstract: In this study, a convection-allowing ensemble prediction experiment was conducted on a strong convective weather process, based on the local breeding growth mode (LBGM) method proposed according to the strongly local nature of the convective-scale… read more here.

Keywords: allowing ensemble; initial perturbation; convection allowing; prediction ... See more keywords

The effects of model climate bias on ENSO variability and ensemble prediction

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Published in 2019 at "ANZIAM Journal"

DOI: 10.21914/anziamj.v60i0.14092

Abstract: New methods are presented for determining the role of coupled ocean-atmosphere model climate bias on the strength and variability of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and on the seasonal ensemble prediction of El Nino and… read more here.

Keywords: coupled ocean; variability; model; doi ... See more keywords
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Ensemble Prediction of Tundish Open Eyes Using Artificial Neural Networks

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Published in 2019 at "ISIJ International"

DOI: 10.2355/isijinternational.isijint-2018-637

Abstract: Often considered a trivial event, recent research on the tundish open eye phenomena has directly associated the existence of the event with final steel quality. To prevent reoxidation during the liquid metal transfer from ladle… read more here.

Keywords: tundish open; prediction tundish; using artificial; eyes using ... See more keywords

Development of a hydrological ensemble prediction system and avisualization approach for improved interpretation during typhoonevents

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Published in 2017 at "Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions"

DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-264

Abstract: Abstract. Typhoons are accompanied by heavy rainfall and cause loss of life and property. Hydrological ensemble prediction systems can provide decision makers with hydrological information, such as peak stage and peak time, with some lead… read more here.

Keywords: prediction system; hydrological ensemble; system; approach ... See more keywords