Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
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DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119
Abstract: Significance This paper compares the probabilistic accuracy of short-term forecasts of reported deaths due to COVID-19 during the first year and a half of the pandemic in the United States. Results show high variation in… read more here.
Keywords: ensemble probabilistic; evaluation individual; probabilistic forecasts; individual ensemble ... See more keywords