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Published in 2022 at "Geophysical Research Letters"
DOI: 10.1029/2022gl101452
Abstract: Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated with a high computational cost and…
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Keywords:
weather;
ensemble spread;
ensemble prediction;
control forecast ... See more keywords
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Published in 2017 at "Journal of Climate"
DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-17-0182.1
Abstract: AbstractSeasonal prediction of El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) employs the ensemble method, which samples the uncertainty in initial conditions. While much attention has been given to the ensemble mean, the ensemble spread limits the reliability of…
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Keywords:
ensemble spread;
pacific meridional;
spread enso;
north pacific ... See more keywords