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Published in 2017 at "International Journal of Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.03.003
Abstract: Abstract We document the fact that the growth forecasts made by professional forecasters in advanced economies exhibit systematic errors, and analyze how these errors depend on the business cycle state. On average over our full…
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Keywords:
growth;
systematic errors;
business cycle;
errors growth ... See more keywords