Information flow between prediction markets, polls and media: Evidence from the 2008 presidential primaries
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.04.002
Abstract: Are the forecast errors of election-eve polls themselves forecastable? We present evidence from the 2008 Democratic Party nomination race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton showing that the answer is yes. Both cross-sectional and time… read more here.
Keywords: media coverage; information; evidence 2008; election ... See more keywords