Articles with "exponential smoothing" as a keyword



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Wavelet-Exponential Smoothing: a New Hybrid Method for Suspended Sediment Load Modeling

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Published in 2019 at "Environmental Processes"

DOI: 10.1007/s40710-019-00363-0

Abstract: In this study, four conventional and a newly proposed method of wavelet-exponential smoothing (WES) - with two presented scenarios (WES1 and WES2) – are employed to estimate daily and monthly suspended sediment load (SSL) in… read more here.

Keywords: time series; exponential smoothing; method; suspended sediment ... See more keywords
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Measuring the impact of an exogenous factor: An exponential smoothing model of the response of shipping to COVID-19

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Published in 2022 at "Transport Policy"

DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2022.01.015

Abstract: Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various lockdown strategies restrained global economic growth bringing a significant decline in maritime transportation. However, the previous studies have not adequately recognized the specific impacts of COVID-19 on… read more here.

Keywords: container; transportation; exponential smoothing; year ... See more keywords
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Spatial epidemiological characteristics and exponential smoothing model application of tuberculosis in Qinghai Plateau, China

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Published in 2022 at "Epidemiology and Infection"

DOI: 10.1017/s0950268822000036

Abstract: Abstract The epidemic of tuberculosis has posed a serious burden in Qinghai province, it is necessary to clarify the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal distribution of TB for future prevention and control measures. We used descriptive… read more here.

Keywords: qinghai; epidemiological characteristics; exponential smoothing; tuberculosis ... See more keywords
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Exponential smoothing forecasts: taming the bullwhip effect when demand is seasonal

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Published in 2022 at "International Journal of Production Research"

DOI: 10.1080/00207543.2022.2048114

Abstract: In this paper, we study the influence of seasonal demands and forecasts on the performance of an Automatic Pipeline, Variable Inventory, Order-Based, Production Control System (APVIOBPCS) using linear control theory. In particular, we consider a… read more here.

Keywords: system; exponential smoothing; demand; model ... See more keywords
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Fitting the damped trend method of exponential smoothing

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Published in 2019 at "Journal of the Operational Research Society"

DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2018.1469457

Abstract: Abstract The well-established forecasting methods of exponential smoothing rely on the “optimal” estimation of parameters if they are to perform well. A grid search procedure to minimise the MSE is often used in practice to… read more here.

Keywords: trend method; exponential smoothing; method; method exponential ... See more keywords
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Exponential Smoothing on Modeling and Forecasting Multiple Seasonal Time Series: An Overview

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Published in 2021 at "Fluctuation and Noise Letters"

DOI: 10.1142/s0219477521300032

Abstract: This paper presents the development process of the exponential smoothing (ES) model, starts with the traditional ES model and then focuses to the multiple seasonal ES model. This paper describes an... read more here.

Keywords: forecasting multiple; exponential smoothing; smoothing modeling; seasonal time ... See more keywords
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A method of trend forecasting for financial and geopolitical data: inferring the effects of unknown exogenous variables

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Published in 2018 at "Journal of Big Data"

DOI: 10.1186/s40537-018-0160-5

Abstract: This paper intends to contribute to the field of trend forecasting by proposing a new forecasting approach for stock market prices and geopolitical time series data of economic, financial and geopolitical importance. Designing models which… read more here.

Keywords: trend forecasting; financial geopolitical; trend; exponential smoothing ... See more keywords
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The predicted load balancing algorithm based on the dynamic exponential smoothing

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Published in 2020 at "Open Physics"

DOI: 10.1515/phys-2020-0108

Abstract: Abstract To a large extent, the load balancing algorithm affects the clustering performance of the computer. This paper illustrated the common load balancing algorithms and elaborated on the advantages and drawbacks of such algorithms. In… read more here.

Keywords: dynamic exponential; load balancing; exponential smoothing; balancing algorithm ... See more keywords
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Application of Exponential Smoothing to Machining Precision of Nickel-based Superalloy Waspaloy

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Published in 2020 at "Sensors and Materials"

DOI: 10.18494/sam.2020.2596

Abstract: Nickel-based materials are widely used in engines, housings, and compressor rotors. They are also used in other industries, such as energy, petrochemicals, and tool and die making. Nickel-based alloys have a high tolerance to high… read more here.

Keywords: significant factors; exponential smoothing; application exponential; factors affecting ... See more keywords
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Analisis Error Terhadap Peramalan Data Penjualan

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Published in 2021 at "IEEE Transactions on Computers"

DOI: 10.33633/tc.v20i1.4054

Abstract: Tujuan penelitian ini membahas tentang peramalan permintaan lampu LED bermerk Sanyo. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Moving Average dan Exponential Smoothing . Pada Metode Moving Average digunakan untuk peramalan periode 3 bulan dan 5 bulan, sedangkan… read more here.

Keywords: metode; bulan; metode exponential; exponential smoothing ... See more keywords
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Equipping Seasonal Exponential Smoothing Models with Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Electricity Consumption Forecasting

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Published in 2021 at "Energies"

DOI: 10.3390/en14134036

Abstract: Electricity consumption forecasting plays an important role in investment planning of electricity infrastructure, and in electricity production/generation and distribution. Accurate electricity consumption prediction over the mid/long term is of great interest to both practitioners and… read more here.

Keywords: seasonal exponential; consumption forecasting; exponential smoothing; electricity ... See more keywords