Keeping a weather eye on prediction markets: The influence of environmental conditions on forecasting accuracy
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.04.005
Abstract: Increasingly, prediction markets are being embraced as a mechanism for eliciting and aggregating dispersed information and providing a means of deriving probabilistic forecasts of future uncertain events. The efficient market hypothesis postulates that prediction market… read more here.
Keywords: accuracy; eye prediction; prediction markets; prediction ... See more keywords