Linking rapid forecast error growth to diabatic processes
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3861
Abstract: The predictability of high impact weather events over the North Atlantic is controlled by synoptic‐scale systems and the mesoscale structures embedded within them. Despite forecast uncertainty being greatest at small scales at the initial time,… read more here.
Keywords: error; forecast error; error growth; linking rapid ... See more keywords
A distributionally robust bidding strategy for a wind-storage aggregator
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Electric Power Systems Research"
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsr.2020.106745
Abstract: Abstract This paper derives distributionally robust optimal bidding strategies for a wind-storage aggregator that participates as a price-maker in the day-ahead market, and a deviator in the balancing market. The market power is modeled by… read more here.
Keywords: distributionally robust; storage aggregator; bidding; wind storage ... See more keywords
Doing Good in Periods of High Uncertainty: Economic Policy Uncertainty, Corporate Social Responsibility, and Analyst Forecast Error
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Journal of Financial Stability"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100919
Abstract: Abstract We investigate the behavior of analyst earnings forecast error in response to policy uncertainty. We find that the accuracy of analyst forecasts is compromised at times of increased economic policy uncertainty, when market volatility… read more here.
Keywords: analyst; csr; forecast error; uncertainty ... See more keywords
On the behavior of ocean analysis and forecast error covariance in the presence of baroclinic instability
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2020.101733
Abstract: Abstract The properties of the expected analysis and forecast error covariance matrices are explored using a novel method based on the tangent linearization and adjoint of a 4-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation system. The method… read more here.
Keywords: hyper ellipsoid; error; analysis; forecast error ... See more keywords
Dynamical Structures of Cross-Domain Forecast Error Covariance of a Simulated Tropical Cyclone in a Convection-Permitting Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Model
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0116.1
Abstract: Understanding the dynamics of the flow-dependent forecast error covariance across the air–sea interface is beneficial toward revealing the potential influences of strongly coupled data assimilation on tropical cyclone (TC) initialization in coupled models, and the… read more here.
Keywords: forecast error; cross domain; error covariance; forecast ... See more keywords