Implementation and calibration of a stochastic multicloud convective parameterization in the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFSv2)
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems"
DOI: 10.1002/2017ms001014
Abstract: A comparative analysis of 14 5-year long climate simulations produced by the National Centres for Environmental Predictions (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2), in which a stochastic multicloud (SMCM) cumulus parameterization is implemented, is… read more here.
Keywords: climate; forecast system; climate forecast; stochastic multicloud ... See more keywords
Evaluation of an experimental Warn‐on‐Forecast 3DVAR analysis and forecast system on quasi‐real‐time short‐term forecasts of high‐impact weather events
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4168
Abstract: The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the capability of an experimental, weather‐adaptive, high‐resolution, deterministic Warn‐on‐Forecast (WoF) analysis and forecast system (WoF3DVAR‐AFS) for predicting high‐impact severe weather events that occurred during the Hazardous Weather… read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; system; forecast; analysis forecast ... See more keywords
Evaluation of energy fluxes in the NCEP climate forecast system version 2.0 (CFSv2)
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3587-z
Abstract: The energy fluxes at the surface and top of the atmosphere (TOA) from a long free run by the NCEP climate forecast system version 2.0 (CFSv2) are validated against several observation and reanalysis datasets. This… read more here.
Keywords: cfsv2; energy; energy fluxes; forecast system ... See more keywords
Surface Radiative Flux Bias Reduction Through Regionally Varying Cloud Fraction Parameter Nudging in a Global Coupled Forecast System
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems"
DOI: 10.1029/2019ms002006
Abstract: A simple parameter nudging procedure is described that systematically reduces near‐analysis time errors in the surface net shortwave flux in the Navy ESPC (Earth System Prediction Capability) system, a global coupled forecast system that is… read more here.
Keywords: system; lead times; forecast system; global coupled ... See more keywords
Forecast System Inertia Condition and Its Impact to Integrate More Renewables
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid"
DOI: 10.1109/tsg.2017.2662318
Abstract: The system inertia is the inherent ability of the online synchronous machines to oppose sudden changes in generation or load. With increasing share of non-synchronous generation technologies (e.g., wind and solar generation) system inertia could… read more here.
Keywords: inertia condition; system; forecast system; system inertia ... See more keywords
Did the Climate Forecast System Anticipate the 2015 Caribbean Drought
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Journal of Hydrometeorology"
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-19-0284.1
Abstract: AbstractIn groundwater-limited settings, such as Puerto Rico and other Caribbean islands, societal, ecological, and agricultural water needs depend on regular rainfall. Though long-range numerical ... read more here.
Keywords: 2015 caribbean; anticipate 2015; system anticipate; forecast system ... See more keywords
Assessing Systematic Impacts of PBL Schemes on Storm Evolution in the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0389.1
Abstract: AbstractThe NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) is an experimental rapidly updating convection-allowing ensemble designed to provide probabilistic operational guidance on high-impact thunderstorm h... read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; assessing systematic; noaa warn; forecast system ... See more keywords
Assessments of Surface Winds and Waves from the NCEP Ensemble Forecast System
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0086.1
Abstract: The error characteristics of surface waves and winds produced by ensemble forecasts issued by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction are analyzed as a function of forecast range and severity. Eight error metrics are compared,… read more here.
Keywords: forecast system; winds waves; surface winds; forecast ... See more keywords
Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast System to Produce Calibrated Probabilistic Thunderstorm Guidance
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-22-0001.1
Abstract: The High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system (HREF) Calibrated Thunder guidance is a suite of probabilistic forecast products designed to predict the likelihood of at least one cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning flash within 20 km (12 miles) of… read more here.
Keywords: forecast; ensemble forecast; forecast system; guidance ... See more keywords
Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-24-0048.1
Abstract: We describe the development of the wave component in the first global-scale coupled operational forecast system using the Unified Forecasting System (UFS) at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), part of the US National… read more here.
Keywords: system; component; forecast; forecasting ... See more keywords
Physics schemes in the first version of NCEP operational hurricane analysis and forecast system (HAFS)
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2024 at "Frontiers in Earth Science"
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2024.1379069
Abstract: This document summarizes the physics schemes used in two configurations of the first version of the operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFSv1) at NOAA NCEP. The physics package in HAFSv1 is the same as… read more here.
Keywords: version; physics schemes; forecast system; physics ... See more keywords