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Published in 2018 at "Journal of Behavioral Decision Making"
DOI: 10.1002/bdm.2055
Abstract: Extending research by the authors on intelligence forecasting, the forecasting skill of 3622 geopolitical forecasts extracted from strategic intelligence reports was examined. The codable subset of forecasts (N = 2013) was expressed with verbal probabilities (e.g., likely)…
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Keywords:
strategic intelligence;
forecasting skill;
skill;
skill strategic ... See more keywords